Development Forecasting and Assessment of Transport Systems Marketability

Abedzhanova Aray Saylaubekkyzy

The instructor profile

Description: The discipline provides for the study of the principles, techniques and methods of forecasting, classification of forecasts, methodological foundations of forecasting transport projects, concepts of expertise, expert assessments, requirements for experts that are necessary for further research activities of a graduate student.

Amount of credits: 5

Пререквизиты:

  • Managing freight transportation

Course Workload:

Types of classes hours
Lectures 30
Practical works 15
Laboratory works
SAWTG (Student Autonomous Work under Teacher Guidance) 30
SAW (Student autonomous work) 75
Form of final control Exam
Final assessment method written

Component: Component by selection

Cycle: Base disciplines

Goal
  • Formation of a system of scientific and professional knowledge and skills for conducting research in the field of forecasting transport systems and assessing its competitiveness
Objective
  • formation of an idea of the main provisions of the forecasting methodology for solving applied problems of improving the efficiency of transport systems; the study by undergraduates of the organizational and methodological foundations of the assessment of transport systems
Learning outcome: knowledge and understanding
  • a master's student should know the basic definitions, provisions, methods and methods of forecasting, methods of conducting and forms of organization of forecasting
Learning outcome: applying knowledge and understanding
  • be able to perform scientific and engineering-applied calculations, analyze the results obtained, draw conclusions based on the synthesis of the analysis results, evaluate the competitiveness of transport equipment
Learning outcome: formation of judgments
  • формулировать суждения о состоянии транспортных систем
Learning outcome: communicative abilities
  • Acquisition of skills in handling modern technology, the ability to use information technology in the field of professional activity
Learning outcome: learning skills or learning abilities
  • Mastering the skills of acquiring new specialized knowledge necessary for daily professional activities and continuing studies in doctoral studies
Teaching methods

- Classes are held in active and creative forms that contribute to the involvement of students in the search and management of knowledge, the acquisition of experience in solving problems independently, including: - technologies of educational and research activities; - communication technologies (discussion, educational debates); - information and communication (including distance education) technologies.

Topics of lectures
  • Fundamentals of systems theory
  • The concept of a systematic approach
  • Content, structure of forecasting of transport systems
  • Methodological foundations of forecasting transport systems
  • System engineering
  • Transport networks
  • Research of transport systems
  • Models and modeling
  • Simulation modeling of transport systems
  • Object-oriented approach to modeling of transport systems
  • Geoinformation systems
  • Evaluation of the efficiency of transport systems
  • Logistics of transport services and transport and distribution systems, assessment of their competitiveness
  • Logistical aspects of the operation of transport systems
  • Freight forwarding services and the main directions in the formation of the freight forwarding system
Key reading
  • Кузнецов А.П. Методологические основы управления грузовыми перевозками в транспортных системах. – М.: ВИНИТИ, 2009. – 276 с. Прогнозирование и планирование в условиях рынка: Учебное пособие для вузов/Т.Г. Морозова, А.В. Пикулькин, В.Ф. Тихонов и др.; Под ред. Т.Г. Морозовой, А.В. Пикулькина. – М.: ЮНИТИ-ДАНА, 2000. – 318 с. Терешина Н.П., Шкурина Л.В. Конкурентоспособность железнодорожного транспорта: оценка имущественного и финансового потенциала. – М.: УМК МПС, 2009. – 128 с.
Further reading
  • Бекмагамбетов М., Смирнова С. Транспортная система Республики Казахстан: (современное состояние и проблемы развития). – Алматы: НИИ КазАТК, 2006. – 446 с. Н. А. Троицкая, А. Б. Чубуков Единая транспортная система. – Изд-во Академия, 2011. Тряпухин А.П., Голощапова А.И. Проектирование товаропроводящих систем на основе логистики. – М.: Финансы и статистика, 2007. – 240 с. Миротин Л.Б., Боков В.В. Современный инструментарий логистического управления. – М.: Экзамены, 2006. – 496 с. Никифорова В.С. Мультимодальные перевозки и транспортная логистика. – М.: Транзит, 2007. – 272 с. Баурсокс Д., Клосс Д. Логистика – интегрированная цепь поставок. – М.: ЗАО «Олимп-Бизнес», 2008. – 639 с. Котляренко А.Ф., Куренков П.В. Внешнеторговые перевозки в смешанном сообщении. Экономика. Логистика. Управление. – Самара.: СамГАПС, 2009. – 636 с. Назаренко В.М. Транспортное обеспечение внешнеэкономической деятельности. – М.: Центр экономики и маркетинга, 2010. – 352 с. Кузнецов А.П. Методологические основы управления грузовыми перевозками в транспортных системах. – М.: ВИНИТИ, 2009. – 276 с.