2023 year

At the first stage of the work under the program in 2023, according to the calendar plan, one task was completed: The study of the mountain slopes of East Kazakhstan Region according to the degree of avalanche hazards based on field research, the use of GIS technologies with the systematization of avalanche-prone areas.
As part of the task, the regulatory framework for monitoring avalanche hazards in Kazakhstan has been defined. A brief description of the avalanche-prone situation in East Kazakhstan region is given. The characteristics of avalanche-prone areas are given by the districts of the region for which snow measuring routes have been developed: Ust-Kamenogorsk section, Altai section, Katon-Karagai section, Ridder section.
The mapping of avalanche-prone areas was carried out with the choice of modern methods and the use of GIS technologies. The systematization of avalanche-prone areas of East Kazakhstan region according to the degree of avalanche hazards has been carried out.
To prepare for the next stages of work, general information about the soils of East Kazakhstan region has been collected. The description of the infological database model is performed.
The task of studying and reviewing the world experience in organizing space monitoring of avalanche hazards has been completed. In order to popularize the results of scientific research, a web page has been created on the university's website about the progress of the program.

Denissova N., Petrova O. Aspects of the development of an automated avalanche hazard monitoring system for the East Kazakhstan region // Modern trends in the development of science and the world community in the era of digitalization, (Moscow, 2023): Collection of materials of the XIX International Scientific and Practical Conference. – Moscow: ALEF Publishing House, 2023. – pp. 267-273. DOI 10.34755/IROK.2023.96.53.005

Visit of the Vice Minister of Emergency Situations:
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About the grant:
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Meeting on the project with the Emergency Department:
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Visit of representatives of the Ionosphere Institute to EKTU as part of the project implementation:
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2024 year

According to the project calendar plan, all tasks set for 2024 have been completed in full. A database of microclimatic parameters and features of the East Kazakhstan region slopes, significant for the development of monitoring systems, has been created. A list of factors for determining priority slopes subject to avalanche hazard monitoring has been identified. A methodology for selecting priority mountain slopes for placing an avalanche hazard monitoring system has been developed. 3D models of avalanche paths have been created. A scientifically substantiated concept of an autonomous automated avalanche hazard monitoring system has been developed, taking into account the advantages and disadvantages of analogs identified in the review. The architecture has been designed and the system algorithm has been developed. Software has been created. Design documentation has been developed and the sensor design has been calculated.

A total of 12 articles have been published in 2024, two copyright certificates have been received (Scientific publications for 2024).

The project partner is Ionosphere Institute LLP. The Institute has completed the tasks for 2024 in accordance with the calendar plan for the contract No. 2023-138 dated 20.11.2023. The methodology for selecting priority mountain slopes for the placement of avalanche hazard monitoring systems was developed. High-precision digital elevation models were built and geomorphometric analysis of the slopes was carried out. 3D models (digital twins) of avalanche paths were created based on the digital elevation model data. A methodology for determining avalanches based on satellite radar data was developed. A study of the mountain slopes of the East Kazakhstan Region (EKR) was conducted in terms of avalanche hazard based on field research, the use of GIS technologies with the systematization of avalanche-hazardous areas. The slopes of the terrain and slope orientation were calculated based on a digital elevation model of medium and high spatial resolution. The timing of the occurrence and collapse of the snow cover was determined based on archival and current satellite data. Mapping of vegetation types on various slopes and assessment of their dynamics over a long period of time were carried out. Solar insolation and albedo coefficients were calculated based on long-term data series.

During the year, several meetings were held with representatives of the East Kazakhstan region Department of Emergency Situations and the State Institution "Kazselezashchita", as well as joint visits to avalanche-prone areas.

At the end of the year, an autonomous automated avalanche hazard monitoring system was installed at avalanche path No. 21 Gornaya Ulbinka, Prokhodnaya River.

2025 year

A prototype of an autonomous automated avalanche hazard monitoring system has been created with the ability to predict and prevent avalanches early. A prototype sensor has been made. The operability of all components, data collection and processing capabilities have been checked. The prototype and sensors were tested in real conditions during the winter season of 2024-2025. The prototype of the system is installed in an avalanche-prone area along the highway Ust-Kamenogorsk - Gornaya Ulbinka - Severnoye (Prochodnaya river).

A pilot project of an autonomous automated avalanche hazard monitoring system on the priority slopes of East Kazakhstan region will be organized. Technical and economic calculations will be performed to assess the social effectiveness of placing an autonomous automated avalanche hazard monitoring system on the mountain slopes of East Kazakhstan Region to scale the system. 9 (nine) articles and (or) reviews in peer-reviewed scientific publications in the scientific direction of the program, included in 1 (first), 2 (second) and (or) 3 (third) quartile by impact factor in the Web of Science database and (or) having a Cite Score percentile in the Scopus database of at least 50 (fifty) and 10 (ten) articles in journals recommended by the Committee for Quality Assurance in Education and Science. Three monographs or textbooks will be published in foreign and (or) Kazakhstani publishing houses. Intellectual property objects will be obtained based on the results of the project of at least 6 (six) intellectual property objects (including an author's certificate for a software product) registered with the National Institute of Intellectual Property of the Republic of Kazakhstan.